Real estate sector showing resilience in spite of global volatility

Improving market fundamentals and a rise in available capital are helping the global real estate sector as a new cycle begins. Inflation and interest rates are becoming more stable. Property values also appear to be recovering from recent lows, and investment activity is returning in the United States, Europe and Asia Pacific. However, uncertainty linked to deglobalisation, geopolitical tensions and difficult economic conditions still poses a significant challenge for investors. This is according to the Emerging Trends in Real Estate Global Outlook 2026 report from PwC and the Urban Land Institute (ULI).

The report sets out to capture the views of thousands of senior property professionals from across Europe, the United States and Asia Pacific to gauge global sentiment on real estate investment and development prospects.

This year’s report claims to highlight a broadening in industry concerns across the globe arising of a number of geopolitical events in the last year. The international backdrop continues to shift at pace, requiring the industry to constantly pivot and adapt. The net result is that one year on, the industry believes there is a “real risk” that the effect on investment could be much the same in 2026.

Diversification in investment 

A consequence of the unavoidable risks from global volatility has seen a shift to diversification across both sectors and countries which is now regarded by leaders as essential to investment approaches. Pricing has also fallen enough in Europe and Asia Pacific to present an attractive trade-off with risk, while occupier markets have remained relatively healthy despite the economic conditions. The report also reflects a strong belief among leaders that real estate’s resilience should continue to shine through, despite the volatility.

Thomas Veith, Global Real Estate Leader, PwC comments: “The sustainable transformation of the industry continues to be in full swing. Real assets are shaping the landscape with a stronger focus on data centres and living. Tokenization is increasingly being used in fundraising.”

Simon Chinn, Vice President, Research & Advisory Services, ULI Europe, comments, “This year’s global outlook portrays an industry that is coming to terms with a changing investment landscape dramatically shaped by geopolitics, where the composition of available capital is shifting from institutional sources to new ones, and where strategic thinking and the flexibility to pivot can mean success. In an era where volatility might be our new normal, it’s clear that our industry’s leaders strongly believe in the resilience of real estate despite the current turbulence.”

The report also highlights a resurgence in retail and offices in selected markets, and how various retail subsectors and offices are now considered to be highly investable once again, particularly grocery based retail and local shopping centres attracting investors across all three regions, and office deals increasing by 18 percent year-on-year to $195.80 billion (MSCI data).

Data Centres moving from niche to mainstream investment in some markets

Once again, data centres have continued to lead the ‘sectors to watch’ rankings as one of the biggest opportunities for investment and development prospects across Europe and North America respondents, while Asia Pacific respondents regard them as the most attractive niche property type for the coming year.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has seen an extraordinary global growth in data centres, and this year’s report indicates that the sector is moving from niche into mainstream investment in western markets, despite concerns about an “AI bubble” arising primarily from the vast capital expenditure on data centre mega campuses in the US. However, the report also notes the challenges, from water and energy consumption to the risk of obsolescence from technology advances.

Other high-ranking sectors to watch include senior housing and assisted living, industrial and logistics, private rented residential, student housing, healthcare, storage facilities, hotels, and affordable housing.

Evolving approaches to ESG 

This year’s report also highlights an evolving approach to ESG (environmental, social and governance) strategies in real estate across the three regions. Views vary, with growing consensus in Asia that asset owners need to shift focus to deliverable and measurable initiatives, while European leaders see ESG increasingly as a pragmatic, not philosophical, endeavour, and leaders in the US focusing on ideas such as asset resilience in response to climate change rather than ESG itself.

Changing capital composition 

Finally, this year’s report includes a dedicated focus on how the composition of capital is changing, and particularly the lasting influence that private wealth is expected to have on the global real estate investment landscape as target allocations from traditional institutional investment decline and competition for capital from infrastructure and private credit increases.

The increase in private wealth is expected to make up some of the short fall from traditional investment routes across the three regions, with high-net-worth individuals, private local investors, private equity and family offices all becoming more prominent funding sources in Europe and the US, while in Asia the trend is further pronounced with flows driven by expanding family offices, private banks, insurers and newer sovereign wealth funds.

Retail investors especially are already adapting to the evolving global market which in turn requires asset managers to adapt with evolving deal structures, liquidity planning and investor communications. The Emerging Trends in Real Estate Global Outlook 2026 highlights the significance of aggregated retail flows into real estate, which could represent hundreds of billions to trillions in potential capital globally.